List of recent publications
Selection of recent publications (from 1998 on)
The following only contains a selection of my publications.
You can also download all the papers from Prof. Dr. Wagner's Research Gate Site.
Journal Articles and Recent Working Papers
- "China: Quo Vadis? Economic Transformation and Future Challenges“, Gabler-Springer 2025. Link, Product Flyer (DOCX 34 KB), Special offer (PDF 263 KB)
- "China: Quo Vadis? Wirtschaftspolitische Entwicklung Chinas", Gabler-Springer 2025. Link
- "China im Systemwandel: Ein kurzer Überblick über die wirtschaftssystempolitische Entwicklung Chinas seit 1978“. In: J. Haucap et.al. (Hrsg.), Wettbewerb und Ordnungspolitik im globalen Kontext. Nomos-Verlag, Baden-Baden März 2025, S. 11-32.
- "Inflation and Inequality: New Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis." (co-author: Linda Glawe), In: International Economics and Economic Policy, Vol. 21 (2024). https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10368-023-00580-x
- “New evidence on the human capital dynamics within China: Is there a human capital trap?”, (co-author: Linda Glawe), in: The Singapore Economic Review, February 2023, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590823500145
- "Trajectories to high income: comparing the growth dynamics in China, South Korea, and Japan with cointegrated VAR models." (co-authors: M- Murach, J. Kim, D. Park) In: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics. vol.62, Sept. 2022: 492-511. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2022.06.007 , 2022. (A previous version was published as ADB Working Paper No. 622, Asian Development Bank)
- "The 'Double Trap' in China - Multiple Equilibria in Institutions and Income and Their Causal Relationship" (Co-author: Linda Glawe), In: Open Economies Review, first-online-publication Dec. 2022, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11079-022-09693-3 , Key Findings
- "Is schooling the same as learning? - The impact of the learning-adjusted years of schooling on growth in a dynamic panel data framework", (co-author: Linda Glawe), In: World Development, vol. 151, March 2022, 105773. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105773
- "New Evidence on the Impact of Institutions on Economic Development in China", (co-author: Linda Glawe) in: Institutional Change and China Capitalism, ed. by A. Le Riche et. al., pp. 137-161 (2022).
- "Convergence, divergence, or multiple steady states? New evidence on the institutional development within the European Union", (co-author: Linda Glawe), in: Journal of Comparative Economics, vol. 49 (3), 860-884. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2021.01.006
- "Divergence Tendencies in the European Integration Process: A Danger for the Sustainability of the E(M)U?", (co-author: Linda Glawe), in: Journal of Risk and Financial Management, vol. 14(3), 1-22. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14030104
- “The effects of external shocks on the business cycle in China: A structural change perspective”,(co-author Michael Murach), in: Review of International Economics, vol. 29(3), 681-702. https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12527
- "China’s „political-economy trilemma“: (How) Can it be solved?" in: SSRN No. 3746949, in "Chinese Economy", vol. 54 (2021), 311-329. DOI 10.1080I10971475.2021.1875158.
- "Trajectories to High Income: Growth Dynamics in Japan, the People´s Republic of China, and the Republic of Korea", (co-authors: Michael Murach, Jungsuk Kim, Donghyun Park); in: ADB Economics Working Paper No. 622, Asian Development Bank: Manila. October 2020.
- "The Middle-Income Trap 2.0: The Increasing Role of Human Capital in the Age of Automation and Implications for Developing Asia", (co-author: Linda Glawe); in: Asian Economic Papers, vol. 19 (2020), issue 3, pp. 40-58.
- „Evolution aus makroökonomischer Perspektive“ [Evolution from a macroeconomic perspective],(Helmut Wagner) in: Ökonomie und Evolution. Studien zur Entwicklung der ökonomischen Theorie XXXVI, Schriften des Vereins für Socialpolitik, ed. by Peter Spahn, Duncker & Humblot: Berlin, July 2020, pp. 119-158.
- "Comments on Toward an Asian Monetary Fund: Ideas for Transition", in: Asian Economic Papers, vol. 19 (2020), issue 2, pp. 78-80.
- "The role of institutional quality and human capital for economic growth across Chinese provinces - a dynamic panel data approach", (co-author: Linda Glawe); in: Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, vol. 18 (04/2020): pp. 1-19.
- "China in the middle-income trap?", (co-author: Linda Glawe); in: China Economic Review, vol. 60, April 2020.
- "Network Topography and Default Contagion in China's Financial System", (co-author: Jens Fittje); in: SSRN Paper No. 3549926, January 2020.
- "Structural Change, rebalancing, and the danger of a middle income trap in China", in: International Journal of China Studies, vol. 10, No. 1, June 2019, pp. 1-25
- "China in the Middle-Income Trap?" (co-author: Linda Glawe) online first publication in: China Economic Review, Jan. 2019
- "On the (non-) sustainability of China's development strategies", Chinese Economy 52 (2019), issue 1, pp. 1-23.
- "The Deep Determinants of Economic Development in China - A Provincial Perspective", (co-author: Linda Glawe); in "Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy", vol. 24 (2019): pp. 484-514.
- "A system-theoretical discussion of the (non-)sustainability of the development strategies", (Co-author Dr. Denis Stijepic), Jan 2019. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3317576 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3317576
- "Positive trend inflation and the Phillips curve - A tale of two slopes and various impulse responses" (co-author: Dr. Katrin Heinrichs), North American Journal of Economics and Finance 47 (2019) pp. 283-307
- "Institutional convergence in Europe" (co-author: Nina Schönfelder) Economics: The Open-Access, Open Assessment E-Journal, 13 (2019-3), pp 1-23.
- "Impacts of intermediate trade on sector structure" (co-author: Denis Stijepic), in: The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, vol. 16 (2018), issue 1, pp. 102-122
- "Structural Change, rebalancing, and the danger of a middle income trap in China", BOFIT Policy Brief, 6, 2018, Bank of Finland: Institute for Economies on Transition.
- "House-Prices and the Credit Market - Evidence from an International Panel of Industrialized Economies", SSRN Working Paper No. 3220328, July 2018 (co-author: Martin Kern).
- "Positive Trend Inflation and the Phillips Curve. A Tale of Two Slopes and Various Impulse Responses" (co-author: Katrin Heinrichs), online-first publication in: North American Journal of Economics and Finance, May 2018, vol. 44.
- "On Cross-System Interactions and the Sustainability of (Economic) Development", (co-author: Denis Stijepic), SSRN Paper No. 3082438, April 20, 2018. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3082438 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3082438
- "On the (non-) sustainability of China's development strategies" [long Version], CEAMeS Discussion Paper No. 6.
- "Avoiding the middle-income trap: Korean lessons for China?", (co-authors: Michael Murach, Jungsuk Kim and Donghyun Park), CEAMeS Discussion Paper No. 14, October 2018.
- "The Deep Determinants of the Middle-Income Trap", SSRN Working Paper No. 3085293, December 2017 (co-author: Linda Glawe).
- "The Deep Determinants at More Subtle Stages of Economic Development - The Example of the Middle-Income Trap", SSRN Working Paper No. 3085417, December 2017 (co-author: Linda Glawe).
- "China Caught in the "Middle-Income Trap"?", (co-author: Linda Glawe), in: VoxChina, November 22, 2017
- "The Building Up of New Imbalances in China: The Dilemma with 'Rebalancing'", in: International Economics and Economic Policy, vol. 14 (2017), issue 4, pp. 701-722
- "How severe will the growth slowdown in China caused by the structural change be? An evaluation based on experiences from Japan and South Korea" (co-author: Michael Murach), in: Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, vol. 15 (3), July 2017, pp. 269-287.
- "Impacts of intermediate trade on sector structure" (co-author: Denis Stijepic), in: The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, online-first-publilcation, July 2017, vol. 15 (2), pp. 1-21.Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2134961 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2134961
- "People's Republic of China in the Middle-Income Trap?” (co-author: Linda Glawe), in: Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)Working Paper Series No. 749, June 2017.
- "Housing market boom-bust-cycles - evidence from a varying minimum cycle length" (co-autor: Martin Kern), in: Journal of Internatonal Business and Economics (JIBE), vol. 5, June 2017, pp. 23-48.
- "Chinas Rebalancing-Dilemma", fc. in: One Belt and One Road - China and the World, Proceedings of the International Conference held in 2016 at Frankfurt University, Konfuzius-Institut Frankfurt (2017).
- "Gefangen in der Mitte - ['Trapped in the middle-income range']" (co-author: Linda Glawe), in: Asia Bridge, April 2017.
- "The Middle-Income Trap - Definitions, Theories and Countries Concerned: A Literature Survey" (co-author: Linda Glawe), in: Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 58, pp. 507-538 (2016)
- "The impact of European integration on institutional development" (Co-author: N. Schönfelder), in: Journal of Economic Integration, vol. 31, Sept. 2016, pp. 472-530.
- "China in the Middle Income Trap?" (co-author: Linda Glawe), SSRN Paper No. 2830439, August 2016 download (PDF 574 KB)
- "Some Results on the Stability of the Aggregate Balanced Growth Path in Neoclassical Multi-sector Growth Models" (co-author: Denis Stijepic), published online November 2016, DOI 10.13140
- "Positive Trend Inflation and the Phillips Curve - A Tale of Two Slopes" (co-author: Katrin Heinrichs), SSRN Paper No. 2888366, 2016.
- "The effects of external shocks on the business cycle in China: A structural change perspective" (co-author: M. Murach), SSRN Paper No. 2741579, March 2016 download (PDF 509 KB)
- "Structural Change and Mid-Income Trap - Under which conditions can China succeed in moving towards higher income status", in: European Journal of Comparative Economics, vol. 12, no. 2, Dec. 2015, pp. 165 - 188. download (PDF 749 KB)
- "The impact of European integration on institutional development" (co-author: N. Schönfelder), MPRA Paper No. 63392, 2015. download (PDF 287 KB)
- "Can We Expect Convergence Through Monetary Integration? (New) OCA Theory vs Empirical Evidence From European Integration", in: Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 56, no.2 (June) 2014, pp. 176-199.
- "Challenges to China's Policy: Structural Change", in: Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 55, 2013, pp.721-736.
- "Convergence and Divergence in the European Monetary Union", in: The Macrotheme Review, vol.2 (4), 2013
- "A Structural Approach to Financial Stability: On the Benefical Role of Regulatory Governance", in: Journal of Governance and Regulation, vol.2, issue 1, 2013, (co-author: B. Mohr), pp.7-26.
- „Is the European Monetary Union Sustainable? The Role of Convergence“, In: S. Kaji and E. Ogawa (eds.), Who will provide the Next Financial Model?: Asia‘s Muscle and Europe‘s Financial Maturity, Springer Japan 2013, pp. 183-218.
- "Volatility Impact of Stock Index Futures Trading - A Revised Analysis" in: Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, Vol. 2 (5), 2012, pp. 113-126 (co-author: E. Matanovic) download (PDF 135 KB)
- "Is harmonization of legal rules an appropriate target? Lessons from global financial crisis" in: European Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 33 (3), 2012, pp. 541-564 download (PDF 118 KB)
- "Nutzen und Kosten einer Regelbindung" in: Wirtschaftsdienst, 92. Jahrgang, Heft 3, März 2012.
- „Structural Change Patterns and Development: China in Comparison“ , Diskussionsbeitrag der Fakultät für Wirtschaftswissenschaft der FernUniversität in Hagen, Nr. 477, January 2012.
- "Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles: The Role of Central Bank Communication" in: Ekonomia, Vol. 14 (1), 2011 (co-author: R. Knuetter)
- "Ungleichgewichte und internationale Politikkoordinierung" in: Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter, 3/2011, (58 Jg.), pp. 487-99
- "Optimal Monetary Policy during Boom-Bust Cycles: The Impact of Globalization" in: International Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 3 (2), May 2011 (co-author: R. Knuetter), pp.34-44.
- “Implementation of technological breakthroughs at sector level and the technology-bias”, MPRA Paper No. 33352, September 2011 (co-author: D. Stijepic). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2020279 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2020279
- „A Structural Approach to Financial Stability: On the Beneficial Role of Regulatory Governance“ (mit B. Mohr), Diskussionsbeitrag der Fakultät für Wirtschaftswissenschaft der FernUniversität in Hagen, Nr. 467, Mai 2011.
- "Regulatory Governance and the Framework for Safeguarding Financial Stability", in: Tavidze, A. (eds.), Progress in Economics Research, Vol. 23, New York, 2012 (co-author: B. Mohr), pp. 1-32.
- "Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles in Asset Prices: A Literature Survey", In: Paul E. Schulz and Barbara P. Hoffmann (eds.), Financial Asset Pricing: Theory, Global Policy and Dynamics, 2012 (co-author: R. Knuetter), pp. 69-96.
- "The Effects of Central Bank Communication on Financial Stability: A Systematization of the Empirical Evidence" Discussion Paper No. 463, Department of Economics, University of Hagen, January 2011 (Co-author: R. Knütter, B. Mohr) pdf
- "The causes of the recent financial crisis and the role of central banks in avoiding the next one", in: International Economics and Economic Policy, vol. 7, No. 1, 2010, pp. 63-82 download (PDF 251 KB)
- "Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust-Cycles: The Role of Communication" (co-author R. Knütter), Diskussionsbeitrag der Fakultät für Wirtschaftswissenschaft der FernUniversität in Hagen, Nr. 453, Juni 2010. download (PDF 180 KB)
- "A New Keynesian Model with Endogenous Frictions", Discussion Paper Series A No. 520, The Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, July 2009 download (PDF 2 MB)
- "Globalization and Asset Prices: Which Trade-Offs. Do Central Banks Face in Small Open Economies?", Discussion Paper No. 433, Department of Economics, University of Hagen, December 2008 (co-author: R. Knütter). download
- "International Policy Coordination and Simple Monetary Policy Rules", Discussion Paper No. 434, Department of Economics, University of Hagen, October 2008 (co-author: W. Berger).
- "Dynamic Effects of Offshoring", Discussion Paper No. 427, Department of Economics, University of Hagen, May 2008 (co-author: D. Stijepic)
- "Globalization, Financial Volatility, and Monetary Risk Management", Working Paper, Princeton University, February 2007
- "Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: More Bad News for 'Benign Neglect' ", in: International Finance, Vol. 10 No. 1, 2007, pp. 1-20 (co-Authors: W. Berger, F. Kißmer)
- "Information and Uncertainty in the Theory of Monetary Policy", in: SUERF Studies, vol. 2007 (1), [ Societé Universitaire Européenne de Recherches Financières. The European Money and FInance Forum. Vienna], Vienna 2007
- "Fiscal Issues in the New EU-Member Countries - Lessons for Asian Economic and Monetary Cooperation?", (in chinese translation) in: World Economic Papers, Issue 2, 2007
- “International Lessons for the Property Price Boom in South Africa”, in: South African Journal of Economics, Vol. 74, Issue 2, 2006(co-authors: N. Funke and F. Kißmer) download (PDF 115 KB)
- „International Policy Coordination and Simple Monetary Policy Rules“, IMF Working Paper WP/06/164, International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C., 2006 (co-author: W. Berger)
- "Fiscal Issues in the New EU-Member Countries - Prospects and Challenges", in: SUERF Studies, vol. 2006 (1), Vienna 2006
- "Interdependent Expectations and the Spread of Currency Crises", in: IMF Staff Papers, vol. 52, no. 1, 2005, pp. 41-54 (Co-author: W. Berger)
- "Reform in the New EU Member States - Will a 3-Pillar Pension System Work?", in: Eastern European Economics download (PDF 3 MB), vol. 43, 2005, pp. 27-51
- "Das Redux-Modell - eine neukeynesianische Theorie offener Volkswirtschaften" ("The Redux Model: A New Keynesian Theory of Open Economies"), in: Wisu, vol. 8-9/05, 2005 (co-author: D. Schulz)
- "Globalization and Financial Instability", in: International Journal of Social Economics, vol. 32, no. 7, 2005, pp. 616-638
- "Globalization, Financial Stability and Monetary Policy", in: Empirica, vol. 31, no. 2-3, 2004 (co-Autor: W. Berger)
- "Geld- und währungspolitische Herausforderungen durch Globalisierung und Finanzmarktinstabilität", in: Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, vol. 54, Heft 3, 2003, pp. 1-31
- "Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy", in: DNB Staff Reports no. 95, De Nederlandsche Bank, Amsterdam, 2003 (co-author: W. Berger)
- "Growth Effects of 'Heterogenous' Economic Integration : The Example of EMU-Enlargement", in Journal of Economic Integration, Volume 17, 2002, no. 4, pp. 623-649
- "Implications of Globalization for Monetary Policy", in SUERF Studies no. 2002/17, previous version published as IMF Working Paper WP/01/184, International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C.
- "The Road to the Euro - Exchange Rate Arrangements in Transition Economies", in: Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, vol. 579, 2002, pp. 168-182 (co-author: E. Hochreiter)
- "Spreading Currency Crises: The Role of Economic Interdependence", IMF Working Paper WP/02/144, International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., 2002 (co-author: W. Berger)
- "Pitfalls in the European Enlargement Process - Financial Instability and Real Divergence", Discussion Paper 06/02, Economic Research Centre of the Deutsche Bundesbank, 2002, Frankfurt/M.
- "Braucht die EZB eine "neue" Geldpolitische Strategie?", in: List Forum für Wirtschafts- und Finanzpolitik, vol. 28 (1), 2002, pp. 1-35 (co-author: F. Kißmer)
- "Emerging-Market-Crises - Well-known Models and New Explanations", ("Emerging Market-Krisen: Bekannte Modelle und neue Ansätze") in: List Forum für Wirtschafts- und Finanzpolitik, vol.27(2), 2001, pp. 178-193 (co-author: W. Berger)
- "Implications of Globalization for Monetary Policy", in: IMF Working Paper, 11 / 2001 (WP 01/184).
- "Which Exchange Rate Regimes in an Era of High Capital Mobility?", in: North American Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 11, Issue 2, 2000, pp. 191-203 download (PDF 1 MB)
- "Central Banking in Transition Countries", in: Eastern European Economics, vol. 38, no. 4, 2000, pp. 6-53 download (PDF 2 MB)
- "Controlling Inflation in Transition Economies: On the relevance of central bank independence and the right nominal anchor", in: Atlantic Economic Journal, vol. 27, no. 1, 2000, pp. 60-70 download (PDF 772 KB)
- "Central Bank Independence and the Lessons for Transition Economies from Developed and Developing Countries", in: Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 41, no. 4, 1999, pp. 1-22
- "Inflation Targeting versus Monetary Targeting", in: Kredit und Kapital, vol. 32, Issue 4, 1999, pp. 610-632
- "La banca central en los países en transición", in: CEMLA Boletín, vol. XLV, 1999, no. 2, pp. 49-75
- "Inflation Targeting", in: Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium (WiSt), vol. 27, 1998, pp. 295-303
- "Central Banking in Transition Countries", IMF Working Paper WP/98/126, International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C., 1998
Collective volume articles:
- "China im Systemwandel: Ein kurzer Überblick über die wirtschaftssystempolitische Entwicklung Chinas seit 1978“. In:J.Haucap et.al. (Hrsg.), Wettbewerb und Ordnungspolitik im globalen Kontext. Nomos-Verlag, Baden-Baden März 2025, S. 11-32.
- "Regulatory Governance and the Framework for Safeguarding Financial Stability", in: Tavidze, A. (eds.), Progress in Economics Research, Vol. 23, New York, 2012 (Co-author: B. Mohr)
- "Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles in Asset Prices: A Literature Survey", In: Paul E. Schulz and Barbara P. Hoffmann (eds.), Financial Asset Pricing: Theory, Global Policy and Dynamics, 2012 (Co-author: R. Knuetter) [https://www.novapublishers.com/catalog/product_info.php?products_id=15549]
- "Wirtschaftspolitische Entscheidungsfindung unter Modellunsicherheit", in: Bortfeldt, A. et al. (eds.), Intelligente Entscheidungunterstützung: Aktuelle Herausforderungen und Lösungsansätze, May 2008
- "Endogenous Uncertainty and Monetary Policy", Discussion Paper No. 419, Department of Economics, University of Hagen, Sept. 2007 (Co-author: G. Giese)
- "Herausforderungen der Globalisierung für die Entwicklungsländer: Unsicherheit und geldpolitisches Risikomanagement", Discussion Paper No. 410, Department of Economics, University of Hagen, 2007
- "Beyond Balanced Growth: Some Further Results", Discussion Paper No. 409, Department of Economics, University of Hagen, 2007 (Co-author: D. Stijepic)
- "Financial Instability and Monetary Risk Management Policy Options- Systemization and an Application", in: A.N. Kandall (ed.): International Business and Financial Issues. Nova Science Publishers, New York, 2007, S. 169-184
- "Costs of Legal Uncertainty: Is Harmonization of Law a Good Solution?", In: United Nations Commission on International Trade Law (ed.), Modern Law for Global Governance. Congress to celebrate the 40th annual session of UNCITRAL (Vienna, 9-12 July 2007), Studies, proposals and background papers, Vienna, pp. 29-36.
- "Information und Unsicherheit in der Geldtheorie", in: C. Clemens et al. (eds.),Auf allen Märkten zu Hause - Gedenkschrift für Franz Haslinger, Marburg, 2006, pp. 193-231
- " 'Human Captital': Determinante der Wirtschaftsentwicklung", in: Das Personalvermögen, Vol. 2/06, 2006
- "Information Asymmetries, Uncertainty, an Central Bank Communication", Discussion Paper, Princeton University, September 2006
- "Model Uncertainty and Robust Control in Monetary Theory", Working Paper, University of Hagen, August 2006
- "Humankapital - Unwort des Jahres 2004. Eine Randnotiz", in: Mroß and Thielmann-Holzmayer
(eds.), Zeitgemäßes Personalmanagement, Deutscher Universitätsverlag, 2005 - "Economic Analysis of Cross-Border Legal Uncertainty: the Example of the European Union", in: J. Smits (ed.), The Need for a European Contract Law. Empirical and Legal Perspectives, Groningen: Europa Law Publishing, 2005, pp. 25-51
- "Euro Adoption in the Accession Countries. Vulnerabilities and Strategies": Comment on Schadler (ed.), Euro Adoption in the new EU member countries, International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., 2005
- "Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance: A Survey of the Evidence", in: N. Healey and P. Levine (eds.), Central Banking in Eastern Europe, London: Routledge 2004 (Co-author: F. Kißmer)
- "Die Zwei-Säulen-Strategie nach der Evaluation durch die EZB", in: M.B. Hofer, H.-K. Kotz and D.B. Simmert (eds.), Geld- und Wirtschaftspolitik in gesellschaftlicher Verantwortung, Duncker & Humblot Verlag: Berlin, 2004 (Co-Author: F. Kissmer)
- "Wachstumsdifferentiale Deutschland - USA: Befund, Analyse und Aspekte der New Economy. - Kommentar zu Gries, T., S. Jungblut und A. Birk", in: T. Gries et. al. (eds.), Neue Wachstums- und Innovationspolitik in Deutschland und Europa, Heidelberg/New York: Physica, 2003
- "Monetary Integration and Real Convergence", in: R. Caesar und H.-E. Scharrer (eds.), The European Economic and Monetary Union: Regional and Global Challenges, Baden-Baden: Nomos, 2001, pp. 79-95
- "Preconditions for the Success of the European Monetary Union", in: M. Haller (ed.), The Making of the European Union. Contributions of the Social Sciences, Springer Verlag Berlin, Heidelberg, 2001, pp. 43-65
- "Effects of Globalization on National Monetary Policy", in: A. Karmann (ed.), Financial Structure and Stability", Heidelberg/New York: Physica, 2001, pp. 34-52
- "Globalization and Inflation", in: H. Wagner (ed.), Globalization and Unemployment, Berlin: Springer, 2000, pp. 343-388
- "Central Banking in Transition Economies: lessons to be learned", in: Eesti Pank (Bank of Estonia) (ed.), The Role of a Central Bank in Economic Policy Management, Tallinn, 1999
- "Economics of Labour Co-Determination in View of Corporate Governance", in: K.J. Hopt et.al. (eds.), Comparative Corporate Governance -The State of the Art and Emerging Research, Oxford: Clarendon (Oxford University) Press 1998, pp. 341-360
- "Monetäre Integration und reale Konvergenz", in: R. Caesar und H.-E. Scharrer (eds.), Die europäische Währungsunion: Regionale und globale Herausforderungen, Bonn: Europa Union Verlag, 1998, pp. 69-84
Books:
- "China: Quo Vadis? Economic Transformation and Future Challenges“, Gabler-Springer 2025. Link, Product Flyer (DOCX 34 KB), Special offer (PDF 263 KB)
- "China: Quo Vadis? Wirtschaftspolitische Entwicklung Chinas", Gabler-Springer 2025. Link
- "VWL- Klausuren: Ein Übungsbuch" (mit H.Turke), München und Wien: De Gruyter Oldenbourg, 5. Auflage, 2024.
- "The Economic Rise of East Asia. Development Paths of Japan, South Korea, and China", (co-author: Linda Glawe),Springer 2021, 360 pages (Hardcover ISBN 978-3-030-87127-7; Series ISSN 1431-1933)
- "VWL- Klausuren: Ein Übungsbuch" (mit H.Turke), München und Wien: De Gruyter Oldenbourg, 4.ed., 2020.
- "Stabilitätspolitik. Theoretische Grundlagen und institutionelle Alternativen" , München und Wien: Oldenbourg Verlag, 11. ed. 2018
- "VWL- Klausuren: Ein Übungsbuch" (mit H.Turke), München und Wien: Oldenbourg Verlag, 3.ed., 2016.
- "Einführung in die Weltwirtschaftspolitik. Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen - Internationale Organisation - Internationale Politikkoordinierung" , Münschen und Wien, Oldenbourg Verlag, 7. ed., 2014
- "Stabilitätspolitik. Theoretische Grundlagen und institutionelle Alternativen" , München und Wien: Oldenbourg Verlag, 10. ed. 2014
- "VWL- Klausuren: Ein Übungsbuch" (mit H.Turke), München und Wien: Oldenbourg Verlag, 2013.
- "Stabilitätspolitik. Theoretische Grundlagen und institutionelle Alternativen" , München and Wien: Oldenbourg Verlag, 1989, 9. ed. 2011
- "Einführung in die Weltwirtschaftspolitik. Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen - Internationale Organisation - Internationale Politikkoordinierung" , Munich and Vienna: Oldenbourg Verlag, 6th ed., 2009
- "Information and Uncertainty in the Theory of Monetary Policy", SUERF Studies, 2007/1, Vienna 2007
- "Fiscal Issues in the New EU-Member Countries - Prospects and Challenges, SUERF Studies 2006/1, Vienna, 2006
- "Übungsbuch Makroökonomie", München: Vahlen-Verlag, 2005
- "Makroökonomie", München: Vahlen-Verlag, 2003
- "Globalization and Unemployment", Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 2000
- "Europäische Wirtschaftspolitik. Perspektiven einer Europäischen Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion(EWWU)", Berlin, Springer-Verlag, 2nd edition 1998
- "Current Issues in Monetary Economics", (ed.), Heidelberg / New York : Physica - Verlag, 1998
- "Perspectives on European Monetary Union" , Research Report no. 7, American Institute for Contemporary German Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, D.C., 1998
Other selected Publications:
- "Vertrauensbildung durch Dialog - Im Fokus: Weltwirtschaftsgipfel", in: economag (Wissenschaftsmagazin für Betriebs- und Volkswirtschaftslehre), Nr. 9/2009 [ http://www.economag.de/magazin/2009/9/254+Vertrauensbildung+durch+Dialog ]
- "Die Waage und das Gleichgewicht: Stabilitätspolitik: Gestern und Heute", in: economag (Wissenschaftsmagazin für Betriebs- und Volkswirtschaftslehre), Nr. 3/2007, S. 1-6
[ http://economag.de/magazin/2007/3/41+Die+Waage+und+das+Gleichgewicht ] - "Graphical Analysis of the New Neoclassical Synthesis", (September 17, 2006). Available at SSRN: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=958382 (Co-authot: G. Giese)
- "Wettbewerb durch Vielfalt", Guest Commentary in Handelsblatt on 10.08.2004 download (PDF 1 MB)
- "Makro Interaktiv", Exercise course (CD-Rom) to "Makroökonomie" (Co-author: W. Laaser)
- “Pitfalls in EMU-Enlargement”, AICGS Advisor, American Institute for Contemporary German Studies, Washington, D.C., 2003
- "Japan als Warnung", Guest Commentary in Handelsblatt on 27.2.2003 download (PDF 191 KB)
- "Braucht die EZB eine 'neue' geldpolitische Strategie", in: List Forum für Wirtschafts- und Finanzpolitik, vol. 28 (1) 2002, pp.1-35 (Co-Author: Friedrich Kissmer) [A longer version came out as Discussion paper no. 315, University of Hagen, 2002]
- "Sie rufen wieder!", Guest Commentary in Handelsblatt on 25.7.2002 download (PDF 116 KB)
- "Mehr Transparenz, bitte!", Guest Commentary in Handelsblatt on 22.5.2002 download
- "Die Sogkraft des neuen Geldes in Europa ist groß", Guest Commentary in Handelsblatt on 8.1.2002 download (PDF 222 KB) or: download (PDF 646 KB)
- "Fallstricke der E(WW)U-Erweiterung" ("The Trap of E(EM)U Expansion"), in: Finanzplatz, Issue 3/2001, Frankfurt/M., 2001 Link (deutsch), Link (english)
- "Die Geschichte des Geldes", Book manuscript for a multi-media CD-ROM-production of Springer-Verlag (Von der Kakaobohne zum Euro), 2001
- "New Economy and Economic Policy", started at Harvard University and NBER, Cambridge/Mass., Oct-Nov 2000
- "Gloomy Perspectives for Germany: Why Does Germany Have Problems Following the American Example of a "New Economy"", on-line publication of AICGS: Johns Hopkins University, October 2000
- "Ursachen und Erklärungen der Asienkrise", Discussion paper no. 286, University of Hagen, 2000 (Co-author: W. Berger)
- "Is Inflation Targeting an Appropriate Nominal Anchor for Transition Countries?", Discussion paper no. 305, University of Hagen, 1999
- "On the Effect of an Increase in Multiplier Uncertainty on Inflation", Discussion paper no. 285, University of Hagen, 1999
- "Monetary Policy in Trasition Economics: On Central Bank Independence and nominal Anchors", Discussion paper no. 270, University of Hagen, 1999
- "Inflation Targeting Versus Monetary Targeting", Discussion paper no. 258, University of Hagen, 1998
- "Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance: A Survey of the Evidence", Discussion paper no. 255, University of Hagen, 1998 (Co-author: F. Kißmer)
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Between 1980 and 1997 Prof. Wagner published 8 books, about 70 journal articles and collective volume articles. The following list only presents a selection of the publications.
Books
- "Europäische Wirtschaftspolitik." Perspektiven einer Europäischen Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion (EWWU), Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 1995
- "Wachstum und Entwicklung. Theorie der Entwicklungspolitik.", Munich and Vienna: Oldenbourg Verlag, 2nd ed., 1997
- "Einführung in die Weltwirtschaftspolitik. Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen - Internationale Organisationen - Internationale Politikkoordinierung", Munich and Vienna: Oldenbourg Verlag, 1991
- "Stabilitätspolitik. Theoretische Grundlagen und institutionelle Alternativen" (Preface by James Tobin), Munich and Vienna: Oldenbourg Verlag, 1989
- "Inflation und Wirtschaftswachstum. Zum Einfluß von Inflation auf die Akkumulationsrate", Volkswirtschaftliche Schriften, no. 329, Berlin: Verlag Duncker & Humblot, 1983
- "Inflation" , Würzburg and Vienna: Physica-Verlag, 1983
Journal articles
- "Entwicklungsökonomie", in: 'WiSt' , Vol. 25., no. 3, 1996, pp. 127 - 134
- "Transformation Process and the J-Curve Problem", in: International Journal of Social Economics', vol. 23, no. 10/11, 1996, pp. 73 - 87
- "Unified Structural Adjustment Policy in Europe?", in: 'Intereconomics' , vol. 30, no. 1, 1995, pp. 25 - 30 (Co-author: W. Maennig)
- "Reconstruction of the Financial System in East Germany: Description and Comparison with Eastern Europe", in: Journal of Banking and Finance, vol. 17, 1993, pp. 1001 - 1019
- " Targeting versus Money Supply Targeting", in: Scottish Journal of Political Economy , vol. 39, 1992, pp. 167 - 187 (Co-author: K. Asako)
- "Seigniorage und Inflationsdynamik. Einige grundlegende Zusammenhänge", in: Kredit und Kapital, vol. 25, 1992, pp. 335 - 358
- "Can Purely Monetary Disinflation Policy Produce Long-Run Involuntary Unemployment ?", in: 'ahrbuch für Sozialwissenschaft', vol. 41, no. 2, 1990, pp. 198 - 216
- "Demokratie und Inflation - Eine 'rationale' wahlpolitische Theorie eines Inflationsbias", in: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik', vol. 207, no. 4, 1990, pp. 356 - 373
- "Vollbeschäftigung durch Gewinnbeteiligung ?", in: 'Konjunkturpolitik', vol. 35, no. 6, 1989, pp. 329 - 345
- "Alternatives of Disinflation and Stability Policy. Costs, Efficiency and Implementability: A Comparison between Japan and West Germany", in: Bank of Japan. Monetary and Economic Studies, vol. 7, no. 1, 1989, pp. 41 - 98
- "Soll die Bundesbank eine nominelle BSP-Regelpolitik betreiben ?", in: Kredit und Kapital, vol. 21, no. 1, 1988, pp. 8 - 33
- "Reducing the 'NAIRU' by Building New Socio-Economic Institutions ?", in: The Indian Economic Journal, vol. 35, 1988, pp. 95 - 111
- "Arbeitsangebot, Freizeitarbeit und Folgen einer Rationierung. Kritik und Erweiterung der traditionellen neoklassischen Arbeitsangebotstheorie", in: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, vol. 203/2, 1987, pp. 138 - 151
- "Kurz- und Längerfristige Wirkungen einer Disinflationspolitik: Keynesianische Ängste des traditionellen neoklassischen Optimismus. Eine Modellanalyse", in: Jahrbuch für Sozialwissenschaft, vol. 38, 1987, pp. 159 - 187
- "Zum Zusammenhang zwischen Mengen- und Preisänderungen. Betrachtungen zu einer auffallenden Trade-off-Beziehung", in: Kredit und Kapital, vol. 18, no. 1, 1985, pp. 61 - 89
- "Einfluß der Inflation auf die Realkapitalbildung", in: W. Ehrlicher and D.B. Simmert (eds.), Der volkswirtschaftliche Sparprozeß, 'Beiheft 9 zu Kredit und Kapital', Berlin: Verlag Duncker & Humblot, 1985, pp. 201 - 233
- "Inflation und Vermögensanlage. Ein Portfoliomodell", in: Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, vol. 102, no. 2, 1982, pp. 135 - 154
- "Wirtschaftspolitik im Lichte rationaler Erwartungen", in: 'Konjunkturpolitik', vol. 27, no. 1, 1981, pp. 1 - 11
Collective volume articles
- "Rechtsunsicherheit und Wirtschaftswachstum", in: Ordnungskonforme Wirtschaftspolitik in der Marktwirtschaft, Festschrift für Hans-Rudolf Peters, S. Behrends (ed.), Berlin: Duncker & Humblot, 1997, pp. 227 - 253
- "Conditionality in Development Aid. Is it welfare-enhancing in developing countries ?", in: Köhler/Gore/Reich/Ziesemer (eds.), Questioning Development - Essays on the Theory, Policies and Practice of Development Interventions, Marburg: Metropolis, 1996, pp. 245 - 262
- "Structural Adjustment and Growth Policies in Europe: Competition and/or Cooperation ?", in: R.Tilly and P.J.J. Welfens (eds.), European Economic Integration as a Challenge to Industry and Government, Berlin: Springer, 1995, pp. 211 - 262 (Co-author: W. Maennig)
- "The EMU-Debate in the Light of Modern Macroeconomics", in: J. Flemmig (ed.), Moderne
Makroökonomik: eine kritische Bestandsaufnahme, Marburg: Metropolis, 1995, pp. 455 - 481 - "Economic Development in Eastern Europe and Migration Push", in: F. Heckmann and W. Bosswick (eds.), Migration Policies: A Comparative Perspective, Stuttgart: Enke, 1995, pp. 249 - 261
- "Why Do Stabilisation Programs in Developing Countries Fail So Often? - Lessons for Eastern Europe", Research Program on Development Studies Seminar Discussion Paper 03/92, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, 1992
- "Einige Theorien des Systemwandels im Vergleich - und ihre Anwendbarkeit für die Erklärung des gegenwärtigen Reformprozesses in Osteuropa", in: J. Backhaus (ed.), Systemwandel und Reform in östlichen Wirtschaften, Marburg: Metropolis, 1991, pp. 17 - 40
- "Dynamic Aspects of Disinflation. - On the Determinants of the 'Sacrifice Ratio' ", in: G. Feichtinger et al. (eds.), Operations Research 1990, XV. Symposium, Methods of Operations Research 64, Section Macroeconomics, Meisenheim: Anton Hain Verlag, 1991, pp. 371 - 377
- "Zur wirtschaftlichen Strategiediskussion in der modernen Makroökonomie. Ein einführender Überblick", in: H.-P. Spahn (ed.), Wirtschaftspolitische Strategien, Regensburg: Transfer-Verlag, 1990, pp. 8 - 32
- "Diskretionäre versus regelgebundene Makropoltik", in: W. Vogt (eds.), Politische Ökonomie heute, Regensburg: Transfer-Verlag, 1988, pp. 117 - 128
- "Zinspolitik versus Geldmengenpolitik. Zu den theoretischen Grundlagen und Wirkungsmechanismen im Kontext von Stabilisierungspoltik", in: C. Köhler and R. Pohl (eds.): Aspekte der Geldpolitik in offenen Volkswirtschaften. Berlin: Duncker & Humblot, 1987, pp. 202 - 220
- "The Costs of a Purely Monetary Disinflation Policy: The Case of Long-Run Involuntary Unemployment", Working Paper no. 443, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institut of Technology (MIT), Cambridge/Mass., March 1987
- "Wirtschaftspolitik und Vertrauensbildung", in: E. Hödl and G. Müller (eds.), Die Neoklassik und ihre Kritik. Sonderband zu 'Jahrbuch 1: Ökonomie und Gesellschaft', Frankfurt and New York: Campus-Verlag, 1986, pp. 351 - 381
- "Anmerkungen zum Übergang in die Schattenwirtschaft. Eine Modellbetrachtung", in: P. de Gijsel and H. G. Seifert-Vogt (eds.), Schattenwirtschaft und alternative Ökonomie. Eine Herausforderung für die politische Ökonomie ?, Regensburg: Transfer-Verlag, 1984, pp. 88 - 102
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